Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.069232 3.431791 3.824219 4.281208 4.799603 5.370353 6.047658
2024-10-20 2.508868 2.984296 3.535230 4.223366 5.063358 6.059779 7.337808
2024-10-27 2.064346 2.569070 3.184029 3.993247 5.037139 6.347900 8.133328
2024-11-03 1.841110 2.378595 3.061356 4.000013 5.268952 6.941834 9.342424
2024-11-10 1.703700 2.273745 3.024677 4.097587 5.609523 7.691523 10.823245
2024-11-17 1.568830 2.153615 2.948750 4.123863 5.841744 8.300965 12.160058
2024-11-24 1.455508 2.049334 2.880152 4.146252 6.060290 8.899956 13.534575
2024-12-01 1.357342 1.955788 2.815227 4.162432 6.263310 9.485629 14.942337
2024-12-08 1.242971 1.827783 2.687220 4.068585 6.283239 9.783029 15.910473
2024-12-15 1.161593 1.741712 2.613332 4.048550 6.412211 10.257870 17.214873
2024-12-22 1.084730 1.656046 2.532246 4.007876 6.500031 10.667491 18.444150
2024-12-29 1.060356 1.649979 2.574146 4.168344 6.934230 11.697908 20.890696
2025-01-05 0.999341 1.582391 2.514679 4.158835 7.083422 12.260686 22.570986
2025-01-12 0.937819 1.509556 2.441135 4.118820 7.174739 12.728523 24.128823
2025-01-19 0.848998 1.385156 2.272423 3.898233 6.918614 12.529442 24.343233
2025-01-26 0.808429 1.339405 2.233796 3.905517 7.082411 13.135321 26.261717
2025-02-02 0.785759 1.322611 2.243565 4.000687 7.419543 14.108113 29.070175
2025-02-09 0.753746 1.287128 2.217497 4.026306 7.622864 14.833180 31.434280
2025-02-16 0.723584 1.252829 2.190893 4.048115 7.819376 15.562066 33.899632
2025-02-23 0.694767 1.219002 2.162614 4.063872 8.003953 16.282747 36.439332
2025-03-02 0.653577 1.159879 2.083374 3.972486 7.957062 16.499705 37.807321
2025-03-09 0.624822 1.122087 2.041723 3.952976 8.059576 17.052678 40.065075
2025-03-16 0.595546 1.081553 1.992189 3.913365 8.114613 17.503306 42.124975